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About the Author - CriticalFanatic
"Football, football, cheerleaders, football, football ...."

Jason
Chicago, IL
Male 28 years old

About Me:
Somehow remain a passionate sports fan despite living and dying with the Chicago Cubs and Michigan State athletics. Born in California, grew up in Michigan and went to college at Miami U (Ohio). All of which have shaped my sports fandom. Also a featured blogger and editor of this fine website you might have heard about called FanIQ.
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Brandon Webb Wins No. 9 [MLB Walk-Off]
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Maybe 30 Wins Isn't Impossible
by CriticalFanatic
>7 days ago

On Wednesday, the fine people at Vegas Watch put together the odds of Brandon Webb winning 30 games. As you can imagine, it was quite low. Seeing as how it hasn't been done in a very long time. Denny McLain accomplished the feat in 1968 with a 31-6 record.

Thursday night, Webb moved a step closer with his ninth win in nine starts this season. It wasn't his best outing, but when you're Brandon Webb your C+ stuff is better than most. 7.1 innings pitched, six hits and three earned runs has him off to the best start since the Padres Andy Hawkins in 1985.

Vegas Watch determined that the odds of Webb reaching 30 wins was 0.2%. The odds of 25 wins was 23%. That's pretty remarkable and now the odds have become incrementally better.

Webb will likely see 25 more starts this season. How many do you think he can get?

DBacks 8, Rockies 5

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If Ain't Not First, Yer Last Scott Kazmir's six solid innings set the D-Rays up for another big win against the New York Yankees, a win that sends the Yanks to last place in the AL East. Tampa still sits in first. Maybe Hank will try to buy them? Rays 5, Yankees 2.

It Actually Happened, Jim Edmonds Is A Cub The former Cardinal started in CF for the Cubs and was cheered for the most part. A group of bleacher bums greeted him appropriately with E-D-M-O-N-D-S across their out of shape, beer bellied torsos. He singled in his first at-bat off Greg Maddux and if not for a fortuitous bounce on a wild pitch, the new Cub might have driven in a run. That was the good news. The bad news was he stranded 7 runners on base the remainder of the game. The best news was Ryan Dempster stuck out 12 for his 5th win. Cubs 4, Padres 0.

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It's mandatory that every team is represented in the All-Star Game, a rule that I think is stupid. Normally, the Pirates don't deserve a rep, but this year Nate McLouth is more than worthy. Batting .304, he hit his 11th home run and remains the best player no one knows about this season. Pirates 11, Cards 5.

What interleague matchup are you most looking forward to this weekend?

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104 days ago
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(Edited 05/16/08 12:57PM by RenegadeLG)
If he gets to face guys like Matt Holliday who's Nike commercials have him with his swelling head up his ass 25 more times, sure, 30 is a possibility. 

Webb is the best pitcher in baseball, hands down, but in the next 50 years I have more hope for a .400 hitter than I do a 30 game winner, and I have almost no hope for a .400 hitter.  That offense is going to eventually fizzle out, and keep in mind they've played most of their games in-division so far.  What was the strongest division in baseball last year is one of the weakest to start '08.  The Diamondbacks only play two more series against the NL West before the All-Star Break.

So because of all that, a ton of no decisions await him.  That bullpen is one of the shakiest in baseball and has gotten away by the skin of it's teeth far too many times this year.  The law of averages will come calling.  I say Webb ends up something like 18-6 with an ERA hovering around 3.  Lesser numbers than Peavy's Cy-campaign last year but numbers that will be the best this year in a retarded National League.

Although going 9-6 the rest of the way seems as improbable as the 9-0 start.  Probably wishful thinking.  But just look at last night.  He fell apart in the 8th and almost any other team would have finished him off.  The Rockies enjoy leaving men in scoring position with no outs.
 
104 days ago
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By the way, what's the longest a pitcher has gone without a loss?  I know Guidry started the '78 season 13-0, that's all I found in 5 minutes of research.  Roy Face went 17-0 before losing in '59 but he was a reliever.  Maddux and Unit both lost their first games early in their respective 2-loss '95 campaigns.
 
 
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